Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 10.051431 11.517057 13.138448 15.067979 17.305341 19.822329 22.874650
2025-08-03 7.864747 9.701667 11.899898 14.734448 18.307390 22.680762 28.469031
2025-08-10 6.610540 8.592743 11.101429 14.528705 19.119065 25.096777 33.539159
2025-08-17 5.729871 7.769808 10.471495 14.340933 19.789038 27.257755 38.394914
2025-08-24 5.043317 7.090323 9.908871 14.113410 20.295510 29.159125 43.023242
2025-08-31 4.478596 6.499678 9.379662 13.833875 20.641214 30.801883 47.395681
2025-09-07 4.241130 6.344158 9.440703 14.398798 22.264088 34.470780 55.263325
2025-09-14 3.939482 6.055106 9.263320 14.563694 23.261455 37.249057 62.013826
2025-09-21 3.633995 5.725810 8.984622 14.525948 23.907836 39.501924 68.124117
2025-09-28 3.340746 5.385545 8.651502 14.355446 24.298037 41.342354 73.704766
2025-10-05 3.210693 5.296308 8.712156 14.841404 25.845983 45.314153 83.584919
2025-10-12 3.071527 5.177352 8.708748 15.209248 27.212182 49.092434 93.557603
2025-10-19 2.973397 5.122856 8.814944 15.790494 29.045349 53.962971 106.367012
2025-10-26 2.735811 4.803362 8.429152 15.435872 29.086465 55.447356 112.580410
2025-11-02 2.543383 4.547893 8.134526 15.219529 29.363074 57.404795 120.006934
2025-11-09 2.372538 4.317307 7.864794 15.022150 29.650059 59.401203 127.759372
2025-11-16 2.212342 4.093362 7.588156 14.783001 29.822547 61.169990 135.225261
2025-11-23 2.060021 3.872220 7.298445 14.489201 29.847459 62.620709 142.143636
2025-11-30 2.024305 3.873100 7.437734 15.082975 31.814234 68.481742 160.205369
2025-12-07 1.943383 3.778253 7.379360 15.256309 32.880770 72.457411 174.262253
2025-12-14 1.846072 3.642959 7.228361 15.216631 33.465413 75.393180 186.128939
2025-12-21 1.742312 3.486761 7.022230 15.037406 33.711572 77.560224 196.319160
2025-12-28 1.711060 3.478279 7.122903 15.548245 35.617311 83.911841 218.490777